In both matchups, the top seeds are heavy favorites to grab Game 1. Wagering on them to win is known as betting chalk. The No. 1 Connecticut Sun (-10) are favored to win by 10 points over the No. 6 Chicago Sky, and the No. 2 Las Vegas Aces (-8) are favored to win by eight points.
It’s easy to see why sportsbooks think these teams will cruise to victory. We wouldn’t want to bet against Jonquel Jones or A’ja Wilson either. But don’t forget, these teams earned double-byes and haven’t competed in more than a week while their opponents are riding the high of back-to-back do-or-die wins.
If you’re looking to take a longshot, or a team that has a very small chance of winning, consider taking the moneyline on Phoenix. The Mercury (+8) lost the season series to Vegas (1-2) but fell by just one point in their most recent meeting two weeks ago.
Phoenix is one of the only teams that can match up with Vegas’s Wilson and 6-foot-8 Liz Cambage. Brittney Griner and Brianna Turner are a formidable duo.
The status of Diana Taurasi’s sprained ankle could determine this one, though.
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The top seeds are heavy favorites, but it isn’t impossible to think a team with size like the Mercury can continue their hot streak and steal Game 1 on the Aces’ home court. The Sun seems like too big a heavyweight to battle, though.