Underdogs are eatin’ in the league this season.
There’s a smorgasbord of stats we could serve you on their success, but here’s a sampler: NFL underdogs went 9-5 against the spread (ATS) in Week 10, bringing the total for underdogs to 87-62-1 ATS. That’s good for a 57% win rate.
Every matchup has a dog, but there are two games in Week 11 that caught our eye — and they both have one thing in common: PRIMETIME TV slots!!
1. Chargers vs. Steelers on SNF: Pittsburgh is the dog (+5.5) but we’re wary of touching this one as Big Ben isn’t guaranteed to return from COVID-19 protocols by gametime.
Mason Rudolph will be the starter in his absence, and after tying with the winless Lions in Week 10, betting on him to cover a nosebleed would be questionable.
2. Bucs vs. the Giants (+11): Here it is. The primetime game to bet. MNF. *cue Carrie Underwood* And no, we’re not overreacting to Tom Brady & Co’s embarrassing loss to the Washington Football team last weekend.
These are two teams that are trending in opposite directions. Coming off a bye week, Saquon Barkley is expected to finally return to NY’s backfield to wreak havoc on a defensive line missing monster nose tackle Vita Vea – not to mention the Bucs’ secondary is in shambles.
Watch out for Danny Dimes to have fun with his arsenal of weapons including wideout Kadarius Toney, who’s due for a breakout. Meanwhile, Tom Brady is just 3-6 ATS this season, and in eight games against the Giants, TB12 has only secured a victory by double digits twice.