In recent history, there’s no question that the Chiefs have been a more successful franchise than the Titans. 

It isn’t even really close.

But for some reason, when playing head-to-head, that history doesn’t really matter between these teams. The Titans have won five out of their last six regular season matchups against the Chiefs dating back to 2014. Last season, the Titans dominated the Chiefs at home 27-3, which, you know, doesn’t happen that often.

The Titans' offense is built around ball control — namely Derrick Henry gradually grinding the opposing defense into dust. If Ryan Tannehill is once again unable to play, rookie Malik Willis’ legs should help Tennessee double down on the run game and control the clock.

Titans coach Mike Vrabel has a way of keeping games close, and recent history dictates the Titans might just have Kanas City’s number. With all that in mind, Tennessee getting 12.5 points feels too good to pass up.