Week 5 of the NFL season wraps up Monday night with the Kansas City Chiefs (-7, 51.5) hosting the Las Vegas Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (ESPN, 8:15 ET).

After an exciting Sunday of action, we have one more opportunity to wager on professional football if we so choose.

Mahomes continues to lead the Chiefs to great success with his excellent play -- 1,106 yards, 11 touchdowns, just two interceptions and a passer rating of 108.4. He has also rushed 13 times for 64 yards. If Mahomes continues to play at an elite level (and I believe he will), the Chiefs will cover the spread. It's also necessary for the Chiefs defense to stop the run and force the Raiders into mistakes. Last season, the Chiefs annihilated the Raiders twice. They'll do it again. In their last 15 games, the Chiefs are 10-5 against the spread. Furthermore, the over is 9-3 in Kansas City's last 12 games.

This game can go one of two ways -- KC blowing out the Raiders like they typically do, averaging 35 points per game or the Raiders keeping it close with a commitment to running the ball, and a new defensive strategy. Las Vegas will get Hunter Renfrow back, but it will still be a tall task to keep up with the Mahomes. I have KC winning by a TD.


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