The Patriots’ best chance at their first non-Tom Brady Super Bowl win may come down to Monday Night Football against the Bills. It’s impossible to understate how important this road trip is to Mac Jones’s (MJ10?) squad.  

Two of the best pass defenses in the league are going head-to-head against two of the league’s brightest young QBs. This will be a statement game with serious playoff implications! 

New England (8-4) leads Buffalo (7-4) by just half a game in the AFC East, and trails by one game in the divisional head-to-head, which could be the tie-breaker. This game will tip the AFC’s power balance one way or the other. 

The Pats also trail the Ravens (8-3) by a half-game for the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC. The top seed is up for grabs, with the winner getting a first-round playoff bye.

Jones and company have looked invincible for the last month and a half. Bill Belichick is inevitable, guiding his team to a six-game winning streak for the 14th time in 21 seasons. Can Buffalo (7-35 vs. Belichick all-time) stop him for a third-straight time? 

What to know about betting the spread on this game:

  • Despite New England’s win streak, Buffalo is favored to win (-2.5) & the over/under is set at 43.5

  • In the Patriots’ six-game winning streak, they’ve won 212-63, covering the spread each time by an average of 20.6 points. What are the oddsmakers missing

  • Belichick’s Pats are 25-15-2 all-time against the spread vs. the Bills, and 15-6-1 against the spread in Buffalo

The Takeaway

Monday night’s Bills-Patriots matchup will be as competitive on the field as it will be at the sportsbook. Not only are the two teams extremely successful in picking up Ws, they’re also wildly underestimated by oddsmakers. Buffalo is 8-3 ATS and New England is 8-4 ATS this year. Consider siding with the Patriots though, as the hottest team in football comes in as an underdog.

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